Book Description
Applied Austrian economics doesn't get better than this. Murray N. Rothbard's America's Great Depression is a staple of modern economic literature and crucial for understanding a pivotal event in American and world history.
The Mises Institute edition features, along with a new introduction by historian Paul Johnson, top-quality paper and bindings, in line with the standard set by The Scholars Edition of Human Action.
Since it first appeared in 1963, it has been the definitive treatment of the causes of the depression. The book remains canonical today because the debate is still very alive.
Rothbard opens with a theoretical treatment of business cycle theory, showing how an expansive monetary policy generates imbalances between investment and consumption. He proceeds to examine the Fed's policies of the 1920s, demonstrating that it was quite inflationary even if the effects did not show up in the price of goods and services. He showed that the stock market correction was merely one symptom of the investment boom that led inevitably to a bust.
The Great Depression was not a crisis for capitalism but merely an example of the downturn part of the business cycle, which in turn was generated by government intervention in the economy. Had the book appeared in the 1940s, it might have spared the world much grief. Even so, its appearance in 1963 meant that free-market advocates had their first full-scale treatment of this crucial subject. The damage to the intellectual world inflicted by Keynesian- and socialist-style treatments would be limited from that day forward.
Customer Reviews:
Superb!.......2007-06-04
This book explains the Austrian business cycle theory with regard to the great depression. Buy it for it is the only book existing that really does that.
The only way to put an end to the dreadful business cycle is to adopt a system of 100 percent gold money reserve standard and to abolish the Federal Reserve. In such a system fractional reserve banking is also abolished and the money supply, when implemented, will never contract again.
I, unlike most Austrian economists, do believe also that Milton Friedman's and Ben Bernanke suggestions that the great depression could have been avoided if the Federal Reserve had not let the money supply contract during the years 1929-1932 are correct.
I also, unlike most Austrian economists, do believe that inflation targeting of 2% that many central bankers do today, will and already has brought low inflation rates (low decreases of the purchasing power of money) and a relative stability compared to the situation during the 70s. Inflation targeting should be supported if the alternative is unfettered central banks.
The difference, though, between Murray Rothbard and Milton Friedman and Ben Bernanke is that Murray Rothbard was a true Austrian economist who knew the very cause of the business cycles and therefore also knew the final solution for it that is, as mentioned, to adopt a system of 100 percent gold reserve money standard.
The gold standard was flawed but not because of the reason that it was a gold standard but due to the fact that it was not 100 percent gold money reserve standard. Rothbard supported a 100 percent gold money reserve standard and in such a system the money supply could never contract as banks could meet any withdrawals. The massive amount of bank failures would also, therefore, have been avoided. The cause of the great depression was the Federal Reserve System and fractional reserve banking.
It is true that history is full of examples of depressions prevailing long before the establishment of the Federal Reserve System in 1913, but not any depression was so severe and more importantly, the destructive seeds of fractional reserve banking were still prevalent during all those depressions. In other words, if the U.S. had adopted a 100 percent gold reserve money standard before all mentioned depressions, the money supplies would never have contracted.
Nothing could substitute a 100 percent gold reserve money standard.
I will now in a few words explain the Austrian business cycle theory so you can get a hint of what it is all about.
Recessions and The Great Depression were caused by Government Interventions!
In a purely free market (without Government intervention), the rate of interest is determined by people's "willingness to save and invest" (which is called people's time preferences) for future use, as compared to how much they are "willingly to consume now". If people change their "willingness to save" (time preferences) and want to save more, the additional savings will cause the rate of interest to fall (increased supply of savings), and businesses will borrow and invest these additional savings. When the Central Bank (for example The Federal Reserve) increases the money supply and expands bank credit (which Central Banks does everywhere and all the time and always "out of thin air"), it initially lowers the rate of interest and thereby misleads businessmen to act in a manner as if true savings have increased, which in turn leads businessmen to invests those supposed savings in capital goods. New projects that were not profitable before, will now suddenly with this lower interest rate, be profitable. While this process is working, the economy is in an inflationary boom phase (expansion). Capital goods such as stocks, real estate etc, will be more demanded and invested in, and prices of those will rise faster and more intensely in relation to consumption goods. As these supposed savings have worked their way through the economy, prices of goods, services and wages have generally increased to a height which prices for them would have not reached without these supposed savings.
As mentioned, people's "willingness to save and invest" have not changed (people's time preferences have not changed) for it was only the Central Bank that increased, out of thin air, additional "savings". When supposed savings have worked their way through the economy and are received, finally, in increased wages, people still spend their real wages in the same manner as before. They save/ consume in real terms and in same proportion to each other, as before mentioned increase in supposed savings. Because of this, a lack of savings will occur and the rate of interest will rise. Projects that businessmen have invested in and that seemed to be profitable when the rate of interest was lowered are now revealed to be unprofitable. All those investments are revealed to be malinvestments. Businessmen will stop investing in those projects and lay off workers. Prices of capital goods, real estate, stocks etc, will fall sharply and relatively to the fall in prices of consumer goods. The economy is in a depression phase. When those investments are liquidated, the economy is adjusted to people's "willingness to save and invest" and to consume. The economic structure corresponds to the ratio which people want to save and consume. The economy is now healthy again.
Now then, in the 1920s the Federal Reserve, in the US, increased the money supply and bank credit, which in the 30s resulted in The Great Depression. The same story goes with Japan during the 1980s, which during the 90s, resulted in a depression.
In Sweden we had banks lending out heavily during the late 80s, which also, led to a depression in the 90s.
All business cycles are caused by the same phenomenon. Economic crisis can occur because of other factors such as wars, boycotts, oil prices etc, but pure business cycles have in common the same cause.
I have tried, in a very few words and in a easy manner, to explain Ludwig von Mises business cycle theory, which is also called the Austrian theory of the business cycle. All faults are mine. Friedrich August von Hayek elaborated this theory and received in 1974 the Nobel Prize for this.
Björn Lundahl
Göteborg Sweden
Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles
Real economic history.......2007-04-17
I have read a lot of Murray Rothbard lately and can say this book (like all of Rothbard's others) offers an excellent analysis of economic history as it it not taught in business schools or discussed in the media. Always a joy to read. My only critic of the book is Rothbard's habit of over-using dense economic data that sometimes upsets the flow of reading, hence the 4 stars. I suppose I was reading a book on economics though so I know I shouldn't really complain.
Pornography for Economic Geeks.......2006-07-14
I really enjoyed this book, even though it dedicated itself to a rather dry discussion of the Austrian School of Ecenomics's explanations for the causes of the Great Depression. I have to say that I simply did not understand much of Economics until I started reading Rothbard because he argues that much of the Economic theories that I had such a hard time grasping were hard to understand because they were absurd.
It's definitely something that will allow you to argue with your econ teacher for hours.
Outdated Economic Interpretation and Political Activism. More Recent Works are More Accurate.......2006-06-01
This book is outdated by a few decades. Modern quantitative economic studies have considerably advanced our understanding of the Great Depression. Rothbard was famous for rejecting quantitative measurements in favor of philosophy (political activism) which does not compare to later research. For the economics of the Great Depression, I highly recommend the rigorous "Essays on the Great Depression" by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke or the old (and slightly outdated) "Monetary History of the United States" by Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz" (which helped Friedman win the Nobel Prize in Economics).
Other excellent books on the economics of the Great Depression include the rigorous 1996 "Golden Fetters" by Barry Eichengreen and Harold James. Another groundbreaking book on the economics of the Great Depression was the 1973 "A World in Depression" by Charles Kindleberger that focused on the international aspects (including the gold standard) and presents a sharply different interpretation than Rothbard, but Bernanke's book is even better.
For a reputable historians view of the Great Depression that is critical but of FDR, read David Kennedy's Pulitzer-Prize winning "Freedom From Fear."
Rothbard argues that the Federal Reserve first created inflation with a loose money policy and started the Depression, which was made worse by Hoover's actions to interfere with the natural correcting mechanisms of the economy. Rothbard is correct about the flawed actions by the Federal Reserve, but he does not properly explain the role of the disastrous gold standard in turning the contraction into the truly catastrophic Great Depression. (No surprise since Rothbard was a staunch believer in the gold standard.) The gold standard was a major cause.
Rothbard also does not adequately cover the effects of the massive collapse of the weakly regulated American financial system while Hoover was president and the subsequent contraction of money caused by the sharp drop in lending activity. Over 10,000 banks failed, which was a catastrophe. The banks were THE financial system of the United States at that time. That banking collapse further restricted the money supply when failed banks could not make any loans and solvent banks refused to make loans for fear of losing money.
The American economy would never have recovered from the massive banking collapse and the constrictive gold standard without intervention. The conventional economic thinking of tariffs, balanced budgets, the gold standard, and weakly regulated financial markets was wrong.
The Republican party had long been the party of tarriffs since the Civil War. The Smoot-Hawley tariff was named after two Republicans and pushed by the Republican leadership. Rothbard puts too much blame on Hoover to protect the Republicans. By the way, this is not meant to reflect on the Republicans of today, who generally oppose tariffs.
The Republican leadership back then staunchly supported a sound currency through a strictly balanced budget and the gold standard, along with high tariffs, which we now know was a disaster.
The Depression could not have ended - and did not end - until the disastrous gold standard was eliminated by FDR. The monetary contracton related to the gold standard and the banking collapse, which contracted loans and more money further, were the main causes.
With no disrespect to Rothbard or his views in general, this outdated dinosaur book on the Great Depession is simply outdated.
Solid.......2006-04-24
Murray Rothbard is one of the clearest writers in modern history, and this theories are well based. I loved every minute of this book, certainly a page turner for any economist.
A warning: This is not a pulp culture book. Instead it focuses on economic theory and government policies
Book Description
The relationship between political and economic cycles is one of the most widely studied topics in political economics. This book examines how electoral laws, the timing of elections, the ideological orientation of governments, and the nature of competition between political parties influence unemployment, economic growth, inflation, and monetary and fiscal policy. The book presents both a thorough overview of the theoretical literature and a vast amount of empirical evidence.
A common belief is that voters reward incumbents who artificially create favorable conditions before an election, even though the economy may take a turn for the worse immediately thereafter. The authors argue that the dynamics of political cycles are far more complex. In their review of the main theoretical approaches to the issues, they demonstrate the multifaceted relationships between macroeconomic and political policies. They also present a broad range of empirical data, from the United States as well as OECD countries. One of their most striking findings is that the United States is not exceptional; the relationships between political and economic cycles are remarkably similar in other democracies, particularly those with two-party systems.
Customer Reviews:
Tests competing theories of political business cycles.......2000-04-07
Alberto Alesina is one of the leading scholars to adapt that new theory of macroeconomics to the possibility of political goals and motivations on the part of policy makers. And "Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy" is the most comprehensive and authoritative statement of scholarship in this field. It is a theoretical and empirical statement of the state of the art in political macroeconomics. It contains a review of alternative theories and fresh empirical tests. It builds on a decade or more of empirical work by Alesina, with the present colleagues and others, and by many other scholars.
Alesina and his colleagues begin with an intellectual map of opportunistic and partisan theories, for each of which there are traditional models with an exploitable Phillips curve and models that are consistent with rational expectations. The conclusions are that the rational choice and rational expectations theories are more successful than their more traditional predecessors and that the partisan model is more successful than the opportunistic model in explaining macroeconomic behavior. That is, the designated winner on both theoretical and empirical grounds is "rational partisan theory," of which the leading scholar is Alberto Alesina himself. The theories are tested with data for the United States and for most of the developed economies in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)....
Although the book's empirical work pertains to most OECD nations, there is a separate chapter devoted to political cycles in the United States. Descriptive data regarding inflation, unemployment, and growth are presented, organized by party and position in the electoral cycle. Hypotheses are tested on data for the period from 1947 through 1994. Results support the rational partisan theory and fail to support opportunistic electoral cycle hypotheses. For nonspecialists the most telling evidence in favor of the "rational partisan" theory, as opposed to the traditional theory, is that differences between the parties on unemployment and growth are confined to the first half of administrations, in response to the element of surprise in electoral outcomes, but the differences dissipate in the second half.
"Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy" is a state-of-the-art presentation of an important field bridging economics and political science. Although the technical level of the book is high (some chapters have more than a score of equations), the book is accessible to serious readers and will be rewarding to them. It simultaneously advances the study of macroeconomics and the study of political processes and institutions. It is a fine book.
compilation of earlier work but not much else.......1999-07-19
The problem here is that almost everything in the book they have already published elsewhere, and thus only is a slight updating of earlier results. It is nice to have them altogether in one source, but the underlying methodology is so questionable as to render it not worthwhile.
The empirical tests to distinguish between various models of political business cycles and partisan theory have been justly criticized. The authors could have made an important contribution by altering their work to properly incorporate the critics, but instead simply restate the problems, pay a little lip service to the issues, and then proceed to ignore them without proper justification.
Average customer rating:
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The Role of Policymakers in Business Cycle Fluctuations
Jim Granato , and
M. C. Sunny Wong
Manufacturer: Cambridge University Press
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ASIN: 0521860164 |
Book Description
The book’s central theme is that a policymaker’s role is to enhance the public’s ability to co-ordinate their price information, price expectations, and economic activities. This role is fulfilled when policymakers maintain inflation stability. Inflation persists less when an implicit or explicit inflation target is met. Granato and Wong argue that inflation persistence is reduced when the public substitutes the prespecified inflation target for past inflation. A by-product of this co-ordination process is greater economic stability. In particular, inflation stability contributes to greater economic output stability, including the potential for the simultaneous reduction of both inflation and output variability - inflation-output co-stabilization (IOCS). Granato and Wong use historical, formal, and applied statistical analysis of business-cycle performance in the United States for the 1960 to 2000 period. They find that during periods when policymakers emphasise inflation stability, inflation uncertainty and persistence were reduced.
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Long Waves of Capitalist Development: A Marxist Interpretation : Based on the Marshall Lectures Given at the University of Cambridge
Ernest Mandel
Manufacturer: Verso
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ASIN: 185984037X |
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Essays on Saving, Bequests, Altruism, and Life-cycle Planning
Manufacturer: The MIT Press
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ASIN: 0262112620 |
Book Description
This collection of essays, coauthored with other distinguished economists, offers new perspectives on saving, intergenerational economic ties, retirement planning, and the distribution of wealth. The book links life-cycle microeconomic behavior to important macroeconomic outcomes, including the roughly 50 percent postwar decline in America's rate of saving and its increasing wealth inequality. The book traces these outcomes to the government's five-decade-long policy of transferring, in the form of annuities, ever larger sums from young savers to old spenders. The book presents new theoretical and empirical analyses of altruism that rule out the possibility that private intergenerational transfers have offset those by the government.
While rational life-cycle behavior can explain broad economic outcomes, the book also shows that a significant minority of households fail to make coherent life-cycle saving and insurance decisions. These mistakes are compounded by reliance on conventional financial planning tools, which the book compares with Economic Security Planner (ESPlanner), a new life-cycle financial planning software program. The application of ESPlanner to U.S. data indicates that most Americans approaching retirement age are saving at much lower rates than they should be, given potential major cuts in Social Security.
Book Description
Samir Amin is one of the world's most profound thinkers about the changing nature of capitalism, North-South relations and issues of development. In this book, he provides us with a powerful understanding of the new and very different era which capitalism has now entered with the collapse of the Soviet model, the triumph of the market and accelerating globalization.
His sophisticated analysis brings within its ambit the increasingly differentiated regions of the South, the former Eastern bloc countries, as well as Western Europe. He also integrates his economic arguments about the nature of the crisis with political arguments based on his vision of human history not as simply determined by material realities, but as the product of social responses to those realities. His innovative analysis of the rise of ethnicity and fundamentalism as consequences of the failure of ruling classes in the South to alter the unequal terms of globalization is particularly compelling. And his deconstruction of the Bretton Woods institutions as the managerial mechanisms protecting the profitability of capital has profound implications for the likelihood of their being reformed in any meaningful way. Looking ahead, Amin rejects the apparent inevitability of globalization in its present polarising form, and instead asserts the need for each society to negotiate the terms of its inter-dependence with the rest of the global economy.
Customer Reviews:
A brilliant analysis of the Global World Order!.......2001-04-13
Samir Amin's analysis of the political economy of the world system is as precise as a set of mathematical theorems and, indeed, if any work in the field of IPE can lay claim to being a work of science, this is it. This is not an easy book to be casually read in the hope of securing instant gratification or wisdom; it is a serious work which the reader will have to read through quite a few times, and think through even more. At the end, though, the reader will be rewarded with a profound understanding of the reasons behind the societal collapse in large parts of the third, fourth and Soviet worlds; of why Europe remains, and could continue to remain, politically a pygmy; of why the "free market" will keep the majority of the world's peoples and nations "free to stagnate"; and why the folks living in "God's own country" can bid goodbye to the good old days of carefree plenty.
incomprehensible.......2001-01-08
a feast of inspirational ideas and theories hidden in an incomprehensible text.
Dominant mind in IPE.......1999-07-15
In this offering Samir solidifies his position in the field of IPE. Center/periphery polarization is concomitant with an antidemocratic constuction of a global political system that subverts the once auto-centerd nation state. By virtue of the five monopolies, the West has controlled both the political and economic development of the world and given rise to a market economy that, in collusion with the political sphere, has subverted political rights and powers to the advantage of capital and its minnions. Hope can only be found when democratic and auto-centered political influence reigns in it's bastard son- the market, and defines it's parameters.
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Market or Government Failures?: An Asian Perspective
A. S. Bhalla
Manufacturer: Palgrave Macmillan
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ASIN: 0333662407 |
Book Description
This book critiques the attention generally placed on government failures in economic crises. Bhalla tunrs to the market, exploring corporate failures which occur in both public and private spheres. These may be due to lapses in implementation of policies and programs. Lack of enforcement in developing countries occurs either because rules and norms do not exist or because they are poorly enforced.
Book Description
Is economic development a "random walk" or do underlying rhythms and cycles make it possible to anticipate long-term trends? Many social scientists have rejected the notion of long-term periodicity in economic trends. Now, after extensive analysis of economic data, distinguished scholar Brian J. L. Berry has found new evidence for the reliability-- and the value-- of "long-wave" theory.
In "Long-Wave Rhythms in Economic Development and Political Bahavior", Berry argues that the synchronization of long waves and growth cycles is "more than a figment of some overactive imagination". Presenting his findings graphically, he argues that there is persuasive evidence of the existence of "deterministic chaos". Applying his analysis of rates of change to the economic phenomena of prices (Kondratiev cycles) and growth (Kuznets cycles), he discovers that pairs of 25-year growth cycles are embedded within 55-year long waves. As a result, Berry concludes, two different kinds of growth cycles-- one inflationary and the other deflationary-- form a complementary pattern of alternating crises with stagflation and depression. Berry also explores the "shifting sand" of cyclical phenomena in the stock market, voting behavior, the incidence of wars, the rise and fall of great powers, and mass psychologies. While avoiding dogmatic conclusions, he offers a provocative discussion of the long-wave context of social phenomena.
As he examines the American economy in long-wave context, Berry optimistically asserts that the "bust" is not inevitable. Technological advances in information transfer enable leaders and organizations to anticipate and alleviate the adverse effects of economic cycles. "Like it or not", he writes, "our lives appear to be embedded in a higher order of complexity: collectively, we are a societal organism that displays self-regulating fluctuations around a path of growth."
Customer Reviews:
Highly recommended.......2001-03-02
The topic of this book is the economic cycle called the long wave or Kondratiev cycle. The Russian economist Kondratiev did not discover these cycles, but he was the first to study them in detail. Long waves may be responsible for various long term trends: the slow down in productivity growth and wages after 1973, the "Reagan revolution", Toynbee's cycles of War and Peace, stock cycles (my focus) and others. This is the reason why people study them. The idea that long waves are major factors in these trends (or that they are even relevant at all) is controversial. Berry's book represents a modern day treatment of this topic.
I bought this book when I was researching the Kondratiev cycle as a possible explanation for stock market cycles (see my book Stock Cycles for more information). Berry presents an excellent overview of the longwaves literature in a single moderately-priced volume, and it is an excellent place to start a serious study of long waves. What I really liked about the book was the strongly empirical flavor where historical inflation and GDP data were smoothed and plotted in various ways that really "bring the cycles out". The focus is on letting the data "tell their own story", which was most refreshing in my opinion.
A compelling examination of the long wave..........1999-03-19
Berry examines the factors associated with the long wave (Kondratiev Wave) and its sub-wave cousin the Kuznets Cycle as they affect the growth of city-building and overall economic growth and decline in the U.S. since the beginning of the republic.
According to Berry, the "stagflation peak" of 1981 will eventually give way to a recession/depression trough sometime between 2006-12. Contrary to the otherworldly optimism and manic expectations of Wall Street and the American public at large, Berry expects a deflationary cycle to begin at any time (March 1998), resulting in mass restructuring and dislocation that will require most of the next decade to resolve.
Following the trough around 2010, however, Berry expects the K-Wave and Kuznets cycles to resume their growth period, which is expected to rise into the growth period peak in the early 2030s.
In the context of A. Gary Shilling's "Deflation...", one would be wise to seriously consider reallocating his or her investment portfolio to perpare for a severe decline in stock prices (50% or more by 2002), in order to avoid the serious losses associated with the Kuznets deceleration wave and the collapse portion of the K-Wave. Bonds will be an attractive alternative to stocks following the panic and collapse phase, as interest rates will dramatically fall as will consumer prices throughout the next decade.
Book Description
In Global Instability, internationally renowned contributors examine the key problems besetting the world economy in the era of globalization and outline possible solutions. They reject the current orthodoxy in mainstream economics, challenging the fatalistic belief that the new globalized economy resists any change of course.
This title available in eBook format. Click here for more information.
Visit our eBookstore at: www.ebookstore.tandf.co.uk.
Customer Reviews:
The Political Economy of World Economic Governance.......2000-01-18
This is a good book introducing the global economics
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