Book Description
- Addresses maintenance management, performance, and control.
- Clarifies the scope, responsibilities and contributions of the Planner/Scheduler function and the support of other functions to Job Preparation, Execution, and Completion.
- Covers the basics commonly contained within world-class programs for effective execution of maintenance work: planning, parts acquisition, work measurement, coordination and scheduling.
- Aids organizations that pursue “Maintenance Excellence”— that state of maintenance management and performance that effectively applies the leading edge policies, procedures, systems, structures, methods, and technologies to maintenance.
Customer Reviews:
Mixed Feelings.......2006-03-22
This book contains many interesting information, guides and principles, but also has too many general talk.
Many concepts and thoughts presented refer to real-life situations and show that authors have comprehensive experience, but at the same time are not developed enough - they very easily end in good-sounding general talk.
Ideas and concepts in this book can trigger some iniciatives in practicioner's office, but everything must be re-worked to have any usefulness in real life.
Learn How to Manage Maintenance from a Real Pro.......2001-12-18
Maintenance is one of the, if not the, most difficult functions to manage and control in industry. Left alone, maintenance tends toward chaos: fighting fires, too busy for PM, repeat failures, with senior management often unappreciative and non-supportive. Nevertheless, without good maintenance, industry can't run. How does one move from chaos to Control?
Mr. Nyman has written the definitive how-to on this subject, and no Plant Engineer or Maintenance Manager should be without this book in his library. If you will not just read, but absorb, the contents of this book for Mr. Nyman's insights, and follow his prescription for planning and scheduling, you will make the move to Control, and make your life, and your job, much easier.
This book gives detailed explanations of the Maintenance Planning function, including both Planner and Supervisor roles, with specifics on the process of how to scope out a job, determine material requirements, coordinate multiple craft groups, estimate time requirements, and then to effectively schedule planned jobs.
The book also includes appropriate metrics for measuring maintenance performance, Planner as well as Supervisor - a topic that is especially important since maintenance is mostly about cost avoidance, which itself is almost impossible to measure.
This book is well-written, concise, and based on real-world experience from a real pro. I recommend it heartily.
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Mathematical Dynamics of Economic Markets
Alexei Krouglov
Manufacturer: Nova Science Publishers
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ASIN: 1594545286 |
Book Description
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting..
With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
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Life-Cycle Savings and Public Policy: A Cross-National Study of Six Countries
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ASIN: 0121098915 |
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The key to understanding household saving is obtaining appropriate data. Dealing with differences between rich and poor households, for example, or the old and the young, require observation of a large number of households. The focus of this study is to obtain data on many households from a number of different countries and to examine them in a coherent fashion. The hope is that through these observations we can learn about the ways policies affect savings and that other differences among savers can be controlled for, instead of being blamed on "cultural differences
* Features a consistent framework among chapters
* Reaches a harmony between measurement and analysis to compare accurately the resulting data and statistics
* Provides econometric methodology to reveal the way policies affect savings
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- Economists should read some real microeconomics for a change
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Asking About Prices: A New Approach to Understanding Price Stickiness
Elie Canetti , and
David Lebow
Manufacturer: Russell Sage Foundation Publications
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Customer Reviews:
Economists should read some real microeconomics for a change.......2006-04-02
The chief author of this book is Alan Blinder, once a Vice-President of the American Economic Association, a Vice-Governor of the Federal Reserve, and currently President of the Eastern Economic Association. He is, in other words, no maverick, but firmly within the mainstream of economic thought. And yet the research he reports in this book challenges many of the accepted tenets of both micro and macro economics.
The publication should therefore be taken seriously by the economics profession, and raked over carefully to find out whether what Blinder reveals is really the case, or simply a product of poor research.
It speaks volumes for the way that economics handles contrary evidence to accepted beliefs that this has not happened. Blinder's book has instead simply been ignored. The book languishes around the 750,000 mark in Amazon's "best sellers" list, and this review will be the first ever given of it. Meanwhile Mas-Colell's Microeconomic Theory, published three years before Blinder's book, which states the accepted neoclassical microeconomic canon in excruciating mathematical detail, ranks in the mid 100,000s, and has over 80 reviews--most of them from economics PhD students and highly laudatory.
Perhaps some of them should read this book and see whether they can reconcile Mas-Colell's elaborate theory with the reality Blinder found. Neoclassical theory presumes that firms face rising marginal costs, and firms profit maximize by equating marginal cost and marginal revenue. Blinder instead found that 89 per cent of firms in his survey reported constant or falling marginal cost.
If marginal cost falls for the majority of firms, then neoclassical pricing theory can't work--as Blinder acknowledges by saying that "The overwhelmingly bad news here (for economic theory) is that, apparently, only 11 percent of GDP is produced under conditions of rising marginal cost." (102)
Fixed costs are also much higher, and much more significant for firms' operations, than implied by economic theory. Quoting Blinder again:
"Firms report having very high fixed costs-roughly 40 percent of total costs on average. And many more companies state that they have falling, rather than rising, marginal cost curves. While there are reasons to wonder whether respondents interpreted these questions about costs correctly, their answers paint an image of the cost structure of the typical firm that is very different from the one immortalized in textbooks." (105)
Blinder's results were garnered by an unusual approach for economists: he interviewed firms to find out what their costs, operations, demand profiles, etc. were. This approach has been disparaged in economics ever since Friemdan's "assumptions don't matter" methodology paper in the 1950s--whose real target was very similar work by researchers like Gardiner Means, which found very similar results to Blinder today.
Blinder mounts an effective defence of the survey method, and also applies more resources to the issue than any previous researcher. He and his team of economics PhD students conducted face to face interviews with Presidents, CEOs and senior managers of 200 firms. The firms surveyed represented 7.1% of the USA's GDP, so what was found was statistically robust: what these firms reported was representative of US industry as a whole. As Blinder put it, "we interviewed an astounding 10 to 15 per cent of the target population-a large fraction by any standard." (68)
The research was used to explain the macroeconomic phenomenon that interests Blinder of "sticky prices". Economic theory implies that price adjustments should dominate market responses, but prices are notoriously inflexible, at least in the downward direction. Blinder's macroeconomics presumes this, but he wanted to know the microeconomics of why. His survey was designed to test 18 different theories as to why this might be so, and the results did let him distinguish between them. But the key surprise for Blinder and his team was the extent to which economic reality did not look at all like the models that economists assume are true.
This is the issue that most interests me, and I'll close with an extended quote from Blinder on this topic. I would love to see some of those who believe Mas-Colell is so wonderful explain why the real world looks so unlike economic theory:
"First, about 85 percent of all the goods and services in the U.S. nonfarm business sector are sold to "regular customers" with whom sellers have an ongoing relationship ... And about 70 percent of sales are business to business rather than from businesses to consumers...
Second, and related, contractual rigidities ... are extremely common ... about one-quarter of output is sold under contracts that fix nominal prices for a nontrivial period of time. And it appears that discounts from contract prices are rare. Roughly another 60 percent of output is covered by Okun-style implicit contracts which slow down price adjustments.
Third, firms typically report fixed costs that are quite high relative to variable costs. And they rarely report the upward-sloping marginal cost curves that are ubiquitous in economic theory. Indeed, downward-sloping marginal cost curves are more common...
If these answers are to be believed ... then [a good deal of microeconomic theory] is called into question... For example, price cannot approximate marginal cost in a competitive market if fixed costs are very high." (p. 302)
Book Description
An article in Fortune a few years ago identified Robert Lucas as "the intellectual leader of the rational-expectations school." An academic colleague has called Lucas "the dominant figure in American macroeconomics." And another refers to this group of 14 essays, nearly all of which were first published during the 1970s, as the most influential contribution to macroeconomics in that decade.
This volume includes: Real Wages, Employment, and Inflation (with Leonard A. Rapping); Unemployment in the Great Depression: Is there a Full Explanation? (with Leonard Rapping); Expectations and the Neutrality of Money; Econometric Testing of the Natural Rate Hypothesis; Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique; Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs; Capacity, Overtime, and Empirical Production Function; Equilibrium Search and Unemployment (with Edward C. Prescott); An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle; Understanding Business Cycles; Unemployment Policy, Rules, Discretion, and the Role of the Economic Advisor a review of Towards Full Employment and Price Stability, A Report to the OECD by a Group of Independent Experts, by Paul McCracken et al.; and Methods and Problems in Business-Cycle Theory.
Customer Reviews:
Lucas simply assumes that the time series data is normally distributed.......2007-08-13
This is one of the worst books ever written by an economist.Lucas simply assumes that all markets can be represented by normal probability distributions(joint,bivariate,multivariate, or log normal).He uses his magic wand to proclaim that there is no such thing as uncertainty or,if there is,it is impossible to analyze.Lucas has never done any type or kind of goodness of fit test on the time series data he claims that his theory is representing/analyzing.It should not come as a surprise that there is no difference between the macroscopic rational expectations claim that all the distributions that decision makers use are normal distributions and Eugene Fama's earlier analysis of stock market prices.Fama discovered that the data fit the Cauchy distribution best.No matter.Fama just assumed that the distributions were normal.This is the foundation for the Efficient Market Hypothesis.I have been unable to discern any significant difference in the statistical modeling of Fama or Lucas.Everything is based on the standard deviation being THE correct measure of risk.There can be no uncertainty(Knight and Keynes) or ambiguity(Daniel Ellsberg) in the metaphysical LucasWorld or FamaWorld where all decision makers are claimed to know that all markets are modeled correctly by normal probability distributions.There is no empirical support for the Lucas claim that "...business cycles can be viewed as repeated instances of essentially similar events...'(Lucas,pp.223-224),which will then be analyzed using the standard deviation, sigma, as a measure of risk.Keynes essentially annihilated Tinbergen's similar claim that he could use the normal distribution to forecast changes in investment spending and turning points in the business cycle.The Lucas -Fama approach is a more detailed version of Milton Friedman's similar assumption that all markets can be represented as being normally distributed .The additivity property then allows Friedman,Lucas, and Fama to add the sigmas to come up with a macroscopic normal distribution.This requires that Ellsberg's rho be equal to 1 so that there is no ambiguity.
There are three recent books that would allow a reader to grasp and understand the essential nature of decision making under the uncertainty/wild risk generated in the stock and financial markets and/or the macroeconomy.Ellsberg's " Risk, Ambiguity,and Decision "(2001),Mandelbrot and Hudson's" The (Mis)Behavior of Markets "(2004), and N N Taleb's " The Black Swan
"(2007) are light years ahead of Lucas.Lucas's work was already dealt with by Keynes in the GT on p.306.Lucas simply assumes that the elasticity e has a value of 1(no uncertainty and no liquidity preference).Lucas can't even form an economic analysis if e
<1 because he has admitted that he can't provide any sort of analysis in such situations.Lucas,like Friedman,Prescott and Fama,is a great Ptolomaic economist.He can brilliantly manipulate the artificially constructed system of equations representing epicycles and eccentrics(orbits)that do not exist.Lucas manipulates the phantasms of a system that does not exist except as a mental creation of his own mind.His epicycle is the normal distribution.He piles one on top of another and adds them all up.Unfortunately,Lucas is an economist and not a scientist.Scientists ultimately must connect their theories and models to the actual existing empirical and experimental evidence .Economists ,apparently,do not.What Lucas means by " Studies " is the empty statistical and mathematical manipulation of symbols on pieces of paper that represent means,expected values,and variances(standard deviations) that do not exist in the real world.They,apparently,do exist in LucasWorld.
It would be impossible for Lucas to receive a real Nobel prize.The misnamed Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science contains two false statements.First,it is not a Nobel Prize.Second,economics is not a science.
Truly exceptional.......2002-02-27
The book includes articles that at this moment have become classical in economic theory. Being written by the leader of new classical economics this book helps one to enter the world of rational expectations macroeconomics.
Book Description
Applied Austrian economics doesn't get better than this. Murray N. Rothbard's America's Great Depression is a staple of modern economic literature and crucial for understanding a pivotal event in American and world history.
The Mises Institute edition features, along with a new introduction by historian Paul Johnson, top-quality paper and bindings, in line with the standard set by The Scholars Edition of Human Action.
Since it first appeared in 1963, it has been the definitive treatment of the causes of the depression. The book remains canonical today because the debate is still very alive.
Rothbard opens with a theoretical treatment of business cycle theory, showing how an expansive monetary policy generates imbalances between investment and consumption. He proceeds to examine the Fed's policies of the 1920s, demonstrating that it was quite inflationary even if the effects did not show up in the price of goods and services. He showed that the stock market correction was merely one symptom of the investment boom that led inevitably to a bust.
The Great Depression was not a crisis for capitalism but merely an example of the downturn part of the business cycle, which in turn was generated by government intervention in the economy. Had the book appeared in the 1940s, it might have spared the world much grief. Even so, its appearance in 1963 meant that free-market advocates had their first full-scale treatment of this crucial subject. The damage to the intellectual world inflicted by Keynesian- and socialist-style treatments would be limited from that day forward.
Customer Reviews:
Superb!.......2007-06-04
This book explains the Austrian business cycle theory with regard to the great depression. Buy it for it is the only book existing that really does that.
The only way to put an end to the dreadful business cycle is to adopt a system of 100 percent gold money reserve standard and to abolish the Federal Reserve. In such a system fractional reserve banking is also abolished and the money supply, when implemented, will never contract again.
I, unlike most Austrian economists, do believe also that Milton Friedman's and Ben Bernanke suggestions that the great depression could have been avoided if the Federal Reserve had not let the money supply contract during the years 1929-1932 are correct.
I also, unlike most Austrian economists, do believe that inflation targeting of 2% that many central bankers do today, will and already has brought low inflation rates (low decreases of the purchasing power of money) and a relative stability compared to the situation during the 70s. Inflation targeting should be supported if the alternative is unfettered central banks.
The difference, though, between Murray Rothbard and Milton Friedman and Ben Bernanke is that Murray Rothbard was a true Austrian economist who knew the very cause of the business cycles and therefore also knew the final solution for it that is, as mentioned, to adopt a system of 100 percent gold reserve money standard.
The gold standard was flawed but not because of the reason that it was a gold standard but due to the fact that it was not 100 percent gold money reserve standard. Rothbard supported a 100 percent gold money reserve standard and in such a system the money supply could never contract as banks could meet any withdrawals. The massive amount of bank failures would also, therefore, have been avoided. The cause of the great depression was the Federal Reserve System and fractional reserve banking.
It is true that history is full of examples of depressions prevailing long before the establishment of the Federal Reserve System in 1913, but not any depression was so severe and more importantly, the destructive seeds of fractional reserve banking were still prevalent during all those depressions. In other words, if the U.S. had adopted a 100 percent gold reserve money standard before all mentioned depressions, the money supplies would never have contracted.
Nothing could substitute a 100 percent gold reserve money standard.
I will now in a few words explain the Austrian business cycle theory so you can get a hint of what it is all about.
Recessions and The Great Depression were caused by Government Interventions!
In a purely free market (without Government intervention), the rate of interest is determined by people's "willingness to save and invest" (which is called people's time preferences) for future use, as compared to how much they are "willingly to consume now". If people change their "willingness to save" (time preferences) and want to save more, the additional savings will cause the rate of interest to fall (increased supply of savings), and businesses will borrow and invest these additional savings. When the Central Bank (for example The Federal Reserve) increases the money supply and expands bank credit (which Central Banks does everywhere and all the time and always "out of thin air"), it initially lowers the rate of interest and thereby misleads businessmen to act in a manner as if true savings have increased, which in turn leads businessmen to invests those supposed savings in capital goods. New projects that were not profitable before, will now suddenly with this lower interest rate, be profitable. While this process is working, the economy is in an inflationary boom phase (expansion). Capital goods such as stocks, real estate etc, will be more demanded and invested in, and prices of those will rise faster and more intensely in relation to consumption goods. As these supposed savings have worked their way through the economy, prices of goods, services and wages have generally increased to a height which prices for them would have not reached without these supposed savings.
As mentioned, people's "willingness to save and invest" have not changed (people's time preferences have not changed) for it was only the Central Bank that increased, out of thin air, additional "savings". When supposed savings have worked their way through the economy and are received, finally, in increased wages, people still spend their real wages in the same manner as before. They save/ consume in real terms and in same proportion to each other, as before mentioned increase in supposed savings. Because of this, a lack of savings will occur and the rate of interest will rise. Projects that businessmen have invested in and that seemed to be profitable when the rate of interest was lowered are now revealed to be unprofitable. All those investments are revealed to be malinvestments. Businessmen will stop investing in those projects and lay off workers. Prices of capital goods, real estate, stocks etc, will fall sharply and relatively to the fall in prices of consumer goods. The economy is in a depression phase. When those investments are liquidated, the economy is adjusted to people's "willingness to save and invest" and to consume. The economic structure corresponds to the ratio which people want to save and consume. The economy is now healthy again.
Now then, in the 1920s the Federal Reserve, in the US, increased the money supply and bank credit, which in the 30s resulted in The Great Depression. The same story goes with Japan during the 1980s, which during the 90s, resulted in a depression.
In Sweden we had banks lending out heavily during the late 80s, which also, led to a depression in the 90s.
All business cycles are caused by the same phenomenon. Economic crisis can occur because of other factors such as wars, boycotts, oil prices etc, but pure business cycles have in common the same cause.
I have tried, in a very few words and in a easy manner, to explain Ludwig von Mises business cycle theory, which is also called the Austrian theory of the business cycle. All faults are mine. Friedrich August von Hayek elaborated this theory and received in 1974 the Nobel Prize for this.
Björn Lundahl
Göteborg Sweden
Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles
Real economic history.......2007-04-17
I have read a lot of Murray Rothbard lately and can say this book (like all of Rothbard's others) offers an excellent analysis of economic history as it it not taught in business schools or discussed in the media. Always a joy to read. My only critic of the book is Rothbard's habit of over-using dense economic data that sometimes upsets the flow of reading, hence the 4 stars. I suppose I was reading a book on economics though so I know I shouldn't really complain.
Pornography for Economic Geeks.......2006-07-14
I really enjoyed this book, even though it dedicated itself to a rather dry discussion of the Austrian School of Ecenomics's explanations for the causes of the Great Depression. I have to say that I simply did not understand much of Economics until I started reading Rothbard because he argues that much of the Economic theories that I had such a hard time grasping were hard to understand because they were absurd.
It's definitely something that will allow you to argue with your econ teacher for hours.
Outdated Economic Interpretation and Political Activism. More Recent Works are More Accurate.......2006-06-01
This book is outdated by a few decades. Modern quantitative economic studies have considerably advanced our understanding of the Great Depression. Rothbard was famous for rejecting quantitative measurements in favor of philosophy (political activism) which does not compare to later research. For the economics of the Great Depression, I highly recommend the rigorous "Essays on the Great Depression" by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke or the old (and slightly outdated) "Monetary History of the United States" by Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz" (which helped Friedman win the Nobel Prize in Economics).
Other excellent books on the economics of the Great Depression include the rigorous 1996 "Golden Fetters" by Barry Eichengreen and Harold James. Another groundbreaking book on the economics of the Great Depression was the 1973 "A World in Depression" by Charles Kindleberger that focused on the international aspects (including the gold standard) and presents a sharply different interpretation than Rothbard, but Bernanke's book is even better.
For a reputable historians view of the Great Depression that is critical but of FDR, read David Kennedy's Pulitzer-Prize winning "Freedom From Fear."
Rothbard argues that the Federal Reserve first created inflation with a loose money policy and started the Depression, which was made worse by Hoover's actions to interfere with the natural correcting mechanisms of the economy. Rothbard is correct about the flawed actions by the Federal Reserve, but he does not properly explain the role of the disastrous gold standard in turning the contraction into the truly catastrophic Great Depression. (No surprise since Rothbard was a staunch believer in the gold standard.) The gold standard was a major cause.
Rothbard also does not adequately cover the effects of the massive collapse of the weakly regulated American financial system while Hoover was president and the subsequent contraction of money caused by the sharp drop in lending activity. Over 10,000 banks failed, which was a catastrophe. The banks were THE financial system of the United States at that time. That banking collapse further restricted the money supply when failed banks could not make any loans and solvent banks refused to make loans for fear of losing money.
The American economy would never have recovered from the massive banking collapse and the constrictive gold standard without intervention. The conventional economic thinking of tariffs, balanced budgets, the gold standard, and weakly regulated financial markets was wrong.
The Republican party had long been the party of tarriffs since the Civil War. The Smoot-Hawley tariff was named after two Republicans and pushed by the Republican leadership. Rothbard puts too much blame on Hoover to protect the Republicans. By the way, this is not meant to reflect on the Republicans of today, who generally oppose tariffs.
The Republican leadership back then staunchly supported a sound currency through a strictly balanced budget and the gold standard, along with high tariffs, which we now know was a disaster.
The Depression could not have ended - and did not end - until the disastrous gold standard was eliminated by FDR. The monetary contracton related to the gold standard and the banking collapse, which contracted loans and more money further, were the main causes.
With no disrespect to Rothbard or his views in general, this outdated dinosaur book on the Great Depession is simply outdated.
Solid.......2006-04-24
Murray Rothbard is one of the clearest writers in modern history, and this theories are well based. I loved every minute of this book, certainly a page turner for any economist.
A warning: This is not a pulp culture book. Instead it focuses on economic theory and government policies
Book Description
This is an innovative analysis of the relationship between women's economic opportunity and marriage in the fourteenth and fifteenth centuries. It is based on an intensive study of York and Yorkshire, but also utilizes evidence from other parts of England and continental Europe. P. J. P. Goldberg explores the role of women in the economy and the part that marriage played in their lives. Importantly, he challenges the Wrigley and Schofield thesis of nuptiality: his analysis of the demography of marriage demonstrates that in late medieval Yorkshire, women participated strongly in the labour force, deferring marriage or avoiding it entirely. This is a stimulating and intelligent book, which makes an important contribution to our understanding of medieval ways of life.
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Firms, Markets and Economic Change: A Dynamic Theory of Business Institutions
R. Langlois
Manufacturer: Routledge
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Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 0415123852 |
Book Description
The authors argue that innovation is a complex process that defies neat categorization and government policy should be to facilitate change rather than to direct it.
This title available in eBook format. Click here for more information.
Visit our eBookstore at: www.ebookstore.tandf.co.uk.
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Austrian and New Classical Business Cycle Theories: A Comparative Study Through the Method of Rational Reconstruction
Rudy Van Zijp
Manufacturer: Edward Elgar Publishing
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ASIN: 1852786744 |
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