Book Description
To harness the full power of computer technology, economists need to use a broad range of mathematical techniques. In this book, Kenneth Judd presents techniques from the numerical analysis and applied mathematics literatures and shows how to use them in economic analyses.
The book is divided into five parts. Part I provides a general introduction. Part II presents basics from numerical analysis on R^n,including linear equations, iterative methods, optimization, nonlinear equations, approximation methods, numerical integration and differentiation, and Monte Carlo methods. Part III covers methods for dynamic problems, including finite difference methods, projection methods, and numerical dynamic programming. Part IV covers perturbation and asymptotic solution methods. Finally, Part V covers applications to dynamic equilibrium analysis, including solution methods for perfect foresight models and rational expectation models. A web site contains supplementary material including programs and answers to exercises.
Customer Reviews:
Great job!.......2007-05-19
The book was in a great condition, and it arrived just as promised.
An excellent and useful text.......2006-09-10
This is the type of book I've been looking for for a long time: It tells you directly what problems are solved by numerical approximation, what methods have been developed for such applications, how to use them, what to watch out for and most importantly, what "tricks" are available to make things easier - this is something you will never pick up in an academic paper and in very few courses.
The structure is very illuminating: simple examples of common problems are followed by generalized versions which are usefull for anyone to apply to their own work. Care is taken to point out the strenghts and weaknesses of various procedures so that the best one can be selected.
As to the critisisms that it does not go deep enough: its not supposed to. It covers in enough detail most (all) of the important methods used by the top economic researchers today, and if the problem you are working on requires more detail than is in the text, precise and extensive references are provided to further understand that particular area.
a very practical and forthright book.
too hard for uninitiated.......2006-07-28
this book may be good for those who already know smth about numerical methods.
An essential resource for all applied economists........1999-05-04
Judd ties together a vast amount of material--from the most basic to the most advanced--that is essential to anyone doing computational work in economics, econometrics or finance. The book is sufficiently self-contained to serve as the single reference book on computational methods for the average economist. In addition, Judd highlights the origins of most methods and points to strengths, weaknesses, and future theoretical research directions. Economic/finance examples are used throughout the book to make the concepts easy to understand and apply. The only thing keeping this book from being perfect is a complete set of software tools, but given the breadth of the book, this might be too much to ask.
Book Description
Standard texts and research in economics and finance ignore the absence of evidence from the analysis of real, unmassaged market data to support the notion of Adam Smith's stabilizing Invisible Hand. In stark contrast, this text introduces a new empirically-based model of financial market dynamics that explains the volatility of prices options correctly and clarifies the instability of financial markets. The emphasis is on understanding how real markets behave, not how they hypothetically 'should' behave.
Customer Reviews:
So what? .......2007-03-26
I am a 3rd year PhD student in Financial Economics, and although I should confess that I only browsed the book, not having fully read it (sorry about that...), I must say that this approach totally misses the target. I recommend anyone who is interested in knowing why to look up the following book review:
[...]
Have fun.
Good summary of the literature.......2007-01-10
I think this book is nicely written and covers a variety of subjects. What I missed while reading it was more applied examples.
McCauley complements Keynes and Mandelbrot.......2005-02-01
McCauley's(M) book definitely should be in the library of any technically trained (BA or BS degree in mathematics or statistics and a BA or BS in economics or finance) reader who is aware of the constant failure of neoclassical economics(and its modern variates such as rational expectations,real business cycle theory,monetarism,or supplyside economics), econometrics(Tinbergen,Frisch,Haavelmo and ,unfortunately,"Keynesian"econometricians like Modigliani,Tobin,Klein,and Solow) and financial analysts(Fama,Black,Merton,Scholes,Sharpe,Osborne,Markowitz and Cootner)to explain and forecast turning points in the business cycles of various countries and/or turning points in various financial markets(stock,commodity,real estate,currency,bond,money or derivatives)at any time in the last century,at least,using the assumption of normality(normal,lognormal,bivariate normal,multivariate normal,approximately normal,etc.).M presents a stochastic model based on the application of Green's Theorem to predict the future values of different options contracts(pp.180-192)that avoids the incorrect assumption of normality.M emphasizes changes in returns,as opposed to changes in prices a la Mandelbrot(pp.73-75).Again, the incorrect assumption of normality is avoided.This reviewer views these developments as occurring within the framework established by Mandelbrot no later than 1966.M is developing and improving aspects of Mandelbrot's general approach.However,there are three areas of M's book that need to be revised in a future edition.The first is his analysis of the classical-neoclassical concept of equilibrium and the process of adjustment involved over time.The argument made by neoclassical economists is that the economy( and all markets)is self equilibrating and always tending to or converging toward the optimal equilibrium point,although in point of fact,due to a constant set of external shocks,this equilibrium position is never reached.Thus, all short-run transactions may or may not be made at disequilibrium prices with no recontracting possible.The result,in the short run,is non optimal.However, in the long run,all of the losses and/or gains from such disequilibrium positions cancel or average out so that the resulting process can be analyzed "as if" the different markets were actually attaining equilibriums.Of course,all changes in market prices are assumed to be normally distributed around the equilibrium,market clearing price which is the average(arithmetic mean)of a normal probability distribution.This argument also is incorrect,but is much more difficult to refute since it is much more sophisticated ,using(misusing)the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem without ever actually examining the basic data.M needs to fine tune his basically sound critique to deal with the more sophisticated version of the neoclassical argument.If he does not,the neoclassical response will be that he does not understand microeconomic price theory.Second, Mandelbrot should not be bracketed with the likes of Markowitz Osborne,Sharpe,Black,Scholes,Merton,etc., on p.4 .Mandelbrot has, in fact,been clearly opposed,since the early 1960's, to the type of theoretical and statistical analysis and result that has been published by this group of economists and financial analysts.Third,M appears to have never read Keynes's A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP) or the 1939-40 exchange between Tinbergen and Keynes over the logical foundations of the basic econometric technique of multiple regression and correlation analysis ,as it regards forecasting of the business cycle.Keynes's complete argument can be found in chapter 17,pp.205-214,and chapters 29,30, 32,and 33 of the TP.Keynes always argued that,outside of the fields of life and physical science,the normal distribution was rather special and limited in application. The use of it required clearcut empirical testing of the data before normality could be assumed.Finally,Keynes's analytic tool in the General Theory(1936) is to show that the general case in macroeconomics is the existence of multiple stable equiibria.This describes the commodity or output market.The labor market is a function of changes in the commodity market.The labor market is in a state of constant disequilibrium,equilibrium only possibly occurring in the special case of a global optimum being obtained in the commodity market.M is correct that the analysis in most markets should be based on excess demand functions.Keynes arrived at this approach in 1936.A set of D=Z functions(functions clearly defined by Keynes in the GT and analyzed by Keynes in chapters 20 and 21 of the GT) define a locus of points that Keynes called the AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE.Only one of these points gives a global optimum.The economics profession has made a bloody mess of Keynes's mathematical analysis since the publication of the GT in 1936,constantly confusing the expected aggregate supply function,Z,with the aggregate supply curve,D=Z.M's treatment of Keynes is deficient and needs to be fixed in a later edition.A complete mathematical analysis of Keynes's theory of effective demand is contained in Brady(2004),"Essays on JM Keynes and..."
Some strengths, some weaknesses .......2004-12-28
The book serves up a very interesting and enlightening alternative to traditional economic thought in a variety of different contexts. I would certainly recommend it to any graduate student of physics or economics seeking to have a well rounded view the financial world.
The great weakness of this text is that the author seems to more than simply disagree with traditional economic theory, he despises it. That might not by itself be so great a weakness if the theory offered up in its stead were compelling, but, the author's passion notwithstanding, that is not the case here. The math aside, in tone and method this book reminds me very much of books authored by Intelligent Design advocates, seeking more to destroy the prominent competing theory than to present a coherent theory of its own.
Perhaps such passion is needed to get the neoclassical economists to pay attention. As in many things, I suspect the two schools of thought have much to teach one another.
On a more practical level, this is not a book for those who have not had a very solid grounding in mathematics, and likely unsuitable for all but the brightest, and most mathematically inclined, undergraduates.
Dynamics of Markets - Econophysics and Finance.......2004-12-10
Dynamics of Markets - Econophysics and Finance
by Joseph McCauley
reviewed by: Enrico Scalas
In 1720, Newton invested his money in the South Sea bubble and lost £20000, a lot of money in those days [1].
So, physicists do not always do it better in financial markets.
Having said that, let us now go on and consider the merits and limits of this book by Joseph McCauley.
The book is divided into nine chapters. Chapters 1, 3, 8 and 9 cover material from epistemology (ch. 1), probability theory (ch. 3), fluid dynamics (ch. 8), and the theory of computation (ch. 9). Chapters 2, 4, 5,6 and 7 are mainly devoted to economics and finance. Namely, chapter 2 critically reviews the general theory of equilibrium, chapter 4 is on the dynamics of markets, chapter 5 and 6 present portfolio selection theory and
option pricing, respectively, and, finally, chapter 7 is a criticism of thermodynamic analogies in finance.
The range of interests of the author is overwhelming and this book is the first attempt to put together many concepts taken from various disciplines in a coordinate view. I am a fan of this method and I much appreciate the effort of the author. However, this is also a limit, as the reader looking for recipes to price options or to select a suitable portfolio will be somehow disappointed. In the very same way, those looking for a
rational criticism of neo-classical assumptions in economics are likely to read the chapters on option pricing without great passion.
In a short review, it is impossible to take into account all the aspects of McCauley's book.
I will just discuss one: equilibrium in economics. But, before that, let me underline that this is the first book in Econophysics where everything in finance is done by explicitly formulating and calculating Green functions. Second, the author presents the European option price predictions in a closed algebraic form and, third, Gaussian returns play no role in the predictions fully based on the empirical distribution.
The author presents a nice criticism of the concept of equilibrium in economics which, in itself, is worth
buying and reading the book. The arguments are scattered throughout the book, as the author is interested
in discussing the behaviour of financial market. For economics and finance, the author provides convincing evidence that the only legitimate form of equilibrium is vanishing excess demand. But price fluctuations in actual financial markets cannot be effectively explained by a sequence of different economic equilibria determined by varying exogenous factors. Then, the only possibility is that excess demand is considered as a stochastic process leading to diffusive models for price (or return) dynamics. Thus, the use of the Green-function formalism in Finance is a natural and logical choice.
McCauley's discussion on equilibrium would have been helped by reference to Kaldor's 1972 paper on the irrelevance of equilibrium economics [2]. Kaldor's point of view coincides with the one of McCauley when he argues that ultimately theories must be confronted with the real world. In discussing the difference between an axiomatic theorem and a scientific theory, Kaldor quotes Einstein: << Physics constitute a logical system of thought which is in a state of evolution, whose basis cannot be distilled, as it were, from experience by an inductive
method, but can only be arrived at by free invention. The justification (truth content) of the system rests in the verification of the derived propositions by sense experiences. The skeptic will say: "it may well be true that this system of equations is reasonable from a logical standpoint. But it does not prove that it corresponds to nature". You are right, dear skeptic. Experience alone can decide on truth. >> [3]
Also in this book, as in many contemporary books, there are various misprints and the constant reference to wrong equation numbers is disturbing.
I think that this book can be read with profit both by physicists interested in complex systems and by economists interested in the principles of their discipline. Economists can always refer to Newton's example mentioned above, when they read in the book about the success of physicists in finance.
References
[1] C. Reed, "The Damn'd South Sea" Britain's greatest financial speculation and its unhappy ending, documented in a rich Harvard collection. Harvard Magazine, May-June 1999.
[2] N. Kaldor, "The Irrelevance of Equilibrium Economics", The Economic Journal, vol. 82, n. 328, 1237-1255, 1972.
[3] A. Einstein, "Ideas and Opinions", Gramercy; Reprint edition (December 12, 1988).
Book Description
This book has become one of the main statistical tools for the analysis of economic and financial data. Designed for both theoreticians and practitioners, this book provides a comprehensive treatment of GMM estimation and inference. All the main statistical results are discussed intuitively
and proved formally, and all the inference techniques are illustrated using empirical examples in macroeconomics and finance. This book is the first to provide an intuitive introduction to the method combined with a unified treatment of GMM statistical theory and a survey of recent important
developments in the field.
Book Description
Time Series: Theory and Methods is a systematic account of linear time series models and their application to the modelling and prediction of data collected sequentially in time. The aim is to provide specific techniques for handling data and at the same time to provide a thorough understanding of the mathematical basis for techniques. Both time and frequency domain methods are discussed, but the book is written in such a way that either approach could be emphasized. The book intended to be a text for graduate students in statistics, mathematics, engineering, and the natural or social sciences. It contains substantial chapters on multivariate series and state-space models (including applications of the Kalman recursions to missing-value problems) and shorter accounts of special topics including long-range dependence, infinite variance processes and non-linear models. Most of the programs used in the book are available on diskettes for the IBM-PC. These diskettes, with the accompanying manual, ITSM: The Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC, also by Brockwell and Davis, can be purchased from Springer-Verlag.
Customer Reviews:
Time Series: Theory and Methods.......2007-05-26
Excellent reading. This book covers mainly the frequentist approach to time series analysis in a very informative way. The book starts off by introducing Hilbert spaces, then moves to stationary ARMA processes and so on. My favourite is chapter 10, Inference for the Spectrum of a Stationary Process, in which different tests are considered for periodicities at known and unknown frequencies.
Quality of the book.......2006-05-05
This is the world?s standard in Time Series, despite been written in the 90?s is still the most valuable resource.
Is a must book for Ph. students in Time Series.
Probably the next edition will include all the work on volatility, specially the Engel, Bollerslev, Nelson, Sheppard stuff and Carma models which has been the work of prof Peter Brockwell.
Rigorous, difficult, but feasible.......2002-03-28
Of course, this an advanced textbook on Time Series. The reader is supposed to have been introduced to the subject, and certainly is looking for a more theoretical treatment.
If you want to learn time series for the first time, this is not the book.
If you want a friendly book, do not see springer's publications.
However, if you want a fair rigourous book, you have found it.
I think the exercises are illustrative, but sometimes long.
excellent and rigorous treatment of time series methods.......2001-04-19
This text provides a thorough treatment of the time and frequency domain theory for time series data. It provides a rigorous and theoretical treatment. This is a graduate level text for statistics majors. It provides good coverage of ARIMA models. There are also a number of other good texts on time series analysis both theoretical and applied. Some like Koopmans' text and Bloomfield's emphasize the frequency domain and others like Box, Jenkins and Reinsel the time domain. Another excellent recent text is the one by Shumway and Stoffer. Chatfield's monograph provides a concise elementary introduction.
Book Description
The generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation has emerged over the past decade as providing a ready to use, flexible tool of application to a large number of econometric and economic models by relying on mild, plausible assumptions. The principal objective of this volume, the first devoted entirely to the GMM methodology, is to offer a complete and up to date presentation of the theory of GMM estimation as well as insights into the use of these methods in empirical studies. It is also designed to serve as a unified framework for teaching estimation theory in econometrics. Contributors to the volume include well-known authorities in the field based in North America, the UK/Europe, and Australia.
Customer Reviews:
A good book about a different way of estimation.......2000-05-09
This book focus in a different method of econometric estimation. The information about this method is quite difficult to understand. This is a excellent aproximation to start to known about the generalized method of moments. I want to remark this book allows us to find a fantastic way to discover this method.
Book Description
Econometric Theory and Methods provides a unified treatment of modern econometric theory and practical econometric methods. The geometrical approach to least squares is emphasized, as is the method of moments, which is used to motivate a wide variety of estimators and tests. Simulation methods, including the bootstrap, are introduced early and used extensively. The book deals with a large number of modern topics. In addition to bootstrap and Monte Carlo tests, these include sandwich covariance matrix estimators, artificial regressions, estimating functions and the generalized method of moments, indirect inference, and kernel estimation. Every chapter incorporates numerous exercises, some theoretical, some empirical, and many involving simulation. Econometric Theory and Methods is designed for beginning graduate courses. The book is suitable for both one- and two-term courses at the Masters or Ph.D. level. It can also be used in a final-year undergraduate course for students with sufficient backgrounds in mathematics and statistics. FEATURES BLUnified Approach: New concepts are linked to old ones whenever possible, and the notation is consistent both within and across chapters wherever possible. BLGeometry of Ordinary Least Squares: Introduced in Chapter 2, this method provides students with valuable intuition and allows them to avoid a substantial amount of tedious algebra later in the text. BLModern Concepts Introduced Early: These include the bootstrap (Chapter 4), sandwich covariance matrices (Chapter 5), and artificial regressions (Chapter 6). BLInclusive Treatment of Mathematics: Mathematical and statistical concepts are introduced as they are needed, rather than isolated in appendices or introductory chapters not linked to the main body of the text. BLAdvanced Topics: Among these are models for duration and count data, estimating equations, the method of simulated moments, methods for unbalanced panel data, a variety of unit root and cointegration tests, conditional moment tests, nonnested hypothesis tests, kernel density regression, and kernel regression. BLChapter Exercises: Every chapter offers numerous exercises, all of which have been answered by the authors in the Instructor's Manual. Particularly challenging exercises are starred and their solutions are available at the authors' website, providing a way for instructors and interested students to cover advanced material.
Customer Reviews:
Insufficient explanations/background info for an intermediate text........2007-01-10
I took the econometrics class from Davidson at McGill University that used this book, and it was not the best learning experience. This book is a good, rigorous "reference" text, with good definitions, for someone with a really solid knowledge of the subject, who wants an in-depth reference on matrix-based approach to econometrics. Or you just need a teacher who explains all the concepts and derivations in great detail and provides examples and solutions (which Davidson did not do in class or in this textbook). The text itself does not contain explanations of the material, so unless this is your 2nd or 3rd graduate-level econometrics class, expect to need several more accessible backup/background texts/teachers.
Best buy.......2004-03-12
Definitely the best and clearest book so far on this subject!! Written by a real top expert in this field (I took his course, the best eco. course I have taken). Much better than Green's book. If you are a serious graduate student in economics and management, especially those of you who are pursuing a PhD instead of only taking a course, it is the best for you. In-depth! Also frankly, it is not for a vaint brain and a guy with weak background.
Only with this book and Johnston & Dinardo's, read and enjoy, then you will understand econometrics absolute confidently.
Don't wast your money on other books!
Hayashi Much Better.......2004-01-22
Campared to Hayashi, Davidson and Mackinnon's book is too "prose-like" and this style in my opinion isn't pedagogically suited for a first serious look into econometrics beyond the undergrad level. A model's assumptions and relevant properties are scattered throughout a chapter, burried in paragraphs, which can be annoying or even comfusing when you need to reference back. Hayashi, on the other hand, presents models with clear listed assumptions, propositions, relevant derivations. DM's book is in my opinion extremely pedagogically inferior in this sense.
However, there're still things you may take away from this book. For example, they present the classical regression model in the framework of matrix project, subspaces, etc., which is not usually treated this way in other texts. This approach makes many tedious matrix manipulation easier.
In my opinion, if you are looking for your first metrics book beyond the undergrad level, definately go for Hayashi first. This is simply the BEST book in terms of learning. For some more depth and alternative pespective, then consider this one.
The best so far!.......2004-01-10
Of several graduate econometric textbooks I've read so far, this is the best. Compared to Greene (2003), its explanations are much clearer and its mathematical results are adequately derived. Compared to Johnston & Dinardo (1997), its coverage is more complete. Compared to Hayashi (2000), its discussion of IV method is more explicit. To be fair, however, Hayashi is also extemely well-written.
Excellent revision of a classic.......2003-12-18
This new book is not a second edition of the classic 1993 book, but neither is it an `all new' one. Now the book is clearer and it is easier to build a Graduate Course using this reference. There are not considerable new topics. I think this 2004 edition should be considered a mere `lifting'. But it is worth the price. Work with this edition!
Book Description
Modern business cycle theory and growth theory uses stochastic dynamic general equilibrium models. Many mathematical tools are needed to solve these models. The book presents various methods for computing the dynamics of general equilibrium models. In part I, the representative-agent stochastic growth model is solved with the help of value function iteration, linear and linear quadratic approximation methods, parameterised expectations and projection methods. In order to apply these methods, fundamentals from numerical analysis are reviewed in detail. Part II discusses methods for solving heterogeneous-agent economies. In such economies, the distribution of the individual state variables is endogenous. This part of the book also serves as an introduction to the modern theory of distribution economics. Applications include the dynamics of the income distribution over the business cycle or the overlapping-generations model. Through an accompanying home page to this book, computer codes to all applications can be downloaded.
Book Description
This solutions manual is a valuable companion volume to the classic textbook Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics by Nancy L. Stokey and Robert E. Lucas. The exercises in the Stokey and Lucas book are integral to the text, and thus, a reader cannot fully appreciate the text without understanding the results developed in the exercises. This manual provides detailed answers to the central exercises in Recursive Methods.
The authors' selection of exercises is designed to maximize the reader's understanding of Recursive Methods. Solutions are presented to every question in the core chapters on recursive methods, as well as most questions from the chapters on mathematical background. Some questions from the chapters on applications of these techniques to economic models have been reserved so as to provide instructors with a crucual "test bank" of questions.
Efficient and lucid in approach, this manual will greatly enhance the value of Recursive Methods as a text for self-study.
Customer Reviews:
hmmm.......2007-08-26
I found the solutions to part 3 weird. the proofs don't seem to be too logical. luckily I had math classes and don't have to learn the necessary analysis from the book. If you intend to do so, you need to be really smart with good error correction... In my opinion economists should not try to teach math.
Book Description
In modern economies a substantial proportion of resources is increasingly allocated to transaction costs. An improvement in the definition of transaction costs to include both the information role and efficiency role requires an integration of the approaches of positive economics and normative economics. In The Economics of Transaction Costs P.K. Rao provides a comprehensive analytical treatment of the subject and suggests a few directions for formal economic models.
Customer Reviews:
Totally useless.......2007-04-27
The title of this book is impressive, and I thought it was a book about transaction cost analysis for financial assets, such as stocks, bonds, options, etc. But no, this is some kind of "general, abstract" (and IMHO useless) treatment of some kind of "general, abstract" concept of transaction cost. In fact, there's no financial application in this book at all.
Book Description
This book presents the contemporary statistical methods and theory of nonlinear time series analysis. The principal focus is on nonparametric and semiparametric techniques developed in the last decade. It covers the techniques for modelling in state-space, in frequency-domain as well as in time-domain. To reflect the integration of parametric and nonparametric methods in analyzing time series data, the book also presents an up-to-date exposure of some parametric nonlinear models, including ARCH/GARCH models and threshold models. A compact view on linear ARMA models is also provided. Data arising in real applications are used throughout to show how nonparametric approaches may help to reveal local structure in high-dimensional data. Important technical tools are also introduced. The book will be useful for graduate students, application-oriented time series analysts, and new and experienced researchers. It will have the value both within the statistical community and across a broad spectrum of other fields such as econometrics, empirical finance, population biology and ecology. The prerequisites are basic courses in probability and statistics. Jianqing Fan, coauthor of the highly regarded book Local Polynomial Modeling, is Professor of Statistics at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and the Chinese University of Hong Kong. His published work on nonparametric modeling, nonlinear time series, financial econometrics, analysis of longitudinal data, model selection, wavelets and other aspects of methodological and theoretical statistics has been recognized with the Presidents' Award from the Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies, the Hettleman Prize for Artistic and Scholarly Achievement from the University of North Carolina, and by his election as a fellow of the American Statistical Association and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. Qiwei Yao is Professor of Statistics at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He is an elected member of the International Statistical Institute, and has served on the editorial boards for the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B) and the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics.
Customer Reviews:
Well used already!.......2006-08-31
This is an excellent monograph. The authors have provided an up-to-date analysis of parametric and nonparametric methods with a comprehensive bibliography. The book is very readible. The authors combine elements of descriptive overview, nontrivial examples and theorems / proofs.
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- PowerNomics : The National Plan to Empower Black America
- Private Capital Markets: Valuation, Capitalization, and Transfer of Private Business Interests
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Econometrics
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| Subjects
| Books
Applied Computational Economics and Finance
Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics
Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, 2nd Edition
Dynamic General Equilibrium Modelling: Computational Methods and Applications
Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data
